DAY 3 - Werewolf 2018

I personally don't think Moog is Evil. The rationale behind his voting has been identical to mine, and I agree with each vote he made.

 

Do we know how many villagers/good and evil there is for this game?

 

You’re jumping to conclusions which is quite unusual for you.

However your latter paragraph should be true.

If you’re good, your days unfortunately will be numbered.

If you’re evil and an accidental guardian pick, then it will become suspicious if you live on as people will ask why you haven’t been taken out.

 

Sorry, that makes no sense to me at all. In fact, the more I read and try to digest it, the more jibberish it becomes.

 

That worked well for SLB!!

 

I think todays message is so close to days 1and 2 first messages ,thats its a fake ,the fact it has been noted that wolfie was getting a bit tardy with messaging he has jumped straight in this morning with a rather classy fake.

 

I'm confused - if you are on team good then surely that's a good thing??

I'm glad you're being more active this morning HH, you usually have some astute insights.

 

I'm inclined to think no one has been turned and there are still only 2 wolves and a traitor. The write up just doesn't scream transformation, but that both roles just identified each other.

I'm therefore assuming the 2 I've stayed with are still both good.

 

But the fact the second message is taking so long isn't helping support this. If the second is the seer then again they are not helping us.

 

It can't be Meh who's turned evil as he was at your house right? So either way Meh! is the only definite good in the game at the moment.

 

I am pretty convinced Moog is evil. Happy to fall on my sword and get lynched tomorrow if I am wrong. I am that confident.

If I was the seer I would:

1. Post my anon message early.

And 2. If beaten by the wolf to posting the anonymous message, quickly follow it up with one of my own to try and refute the wolfs message.

As number 2 hasn't happened I strongly believe the seer has picked option 1 and got there before the wolf has.

 

Agree. I think it is most likely that wolf 2 went to kill the person with the unknown role. The power of this role turned the kill into a exchanging of identification; hence no kill and both roles now knowing each other.

If a wolf emerged, I think Otter would have been more descriptive about the transformation, as other mods have been during Full Moons.

 

If your assuming that then you have to assume I am good as well No?

 

Agreed the explanation is too ambiguous to be a turning.

 

Yep.

Plus 2 others.

 

But what else has Moog done that suggests he is evil?

If you give me more evidence I could be persuaded.

 

I think people are getting distracted with their postulating.

Norway and Meh are known good, but for some bizarre twist that we've all missed.

I'd be wary of people trying to throw any shade at either of them, or doubt, however subtle.

 

By the same logic, what does the wolf have to gain by not posting and automatically rebutting the message? If I was evil, either I would protect myself with a fantastically confusing message in immediate response to the first, or I'd damn well hope that my fellow evil player would do so.

The fact that I've no allies in the messages, is my only defence at this stage.

 

He has effectively questioned everything anyone has said under the premise of trying to solve the game. But not once has he given us his thoughts on who might actually be evil? Stinks of trying to look busy and villager like without trying to upset anyone. Classic wolf trait which I have caught you on before Mike.

Oh and like Moog says, messages are key and what we should base votes on. And my point that no seer should wait this long to post an anonymous message, meaning its likely that the first message today is the seer should hold some weight.

Off for the afternoon but even with a second message I reckon I will be voting Moog. I'll wait though as you never know!





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So instead of just making a statement like you are convinced Moog is evil, why not explain it?

The first (only) message received today claiming Moog to be evil said

Explain what the bit in bold means if you are sure he is evil. What final clue did the wolves give the seer for him to come to view Moog?

 

I explained my reasoning in the very post you quoted lol.

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They crossed, but you didn't explain the bit in bold.

 

Does this mean that one of teh wolves had the option to choose another wolf instead of making a kill ?

I might choose for Dirty Den to join the village when i get a choice

 

Having said all the above, at this stage, with nothing else to go on, I'd definitely vote for me if I were any

You are only happy to agree with this if it suits your own suppositions.

I believe I've done more for the village so far than you have, by helping to maintain a process of logical elimination of suspects. You are someone who throws out random accusations but now, surprise surprise, have a message which supports one of them, which was quite baseless.

I ask this, why would the Seer have viewed me? There are several people who would have been far higher up the list of suspects, as per discussions yesterday.

The only logic I can see, by your posts yesterday and your continued path is that you set up the message yesterday by accusing me, you then posted the message this morning and you'll try to back that up with your messages today.

As a wolf, you've clearly decided to use a message to get at me.

As I said earlier. If I'm gone tonight then I hope the rest of the villagers take note and go for you tomorrow as I am convinced you are the Alpha

 

You get more suspicious day by day too. Have you contributed anything so far?

 

this is one line that has changed on day 1 & day 2
not sure if its relevant or not

 

Anonymous Message #2 (received at 12:01)

Afternoon Villagers,

This is your seer. It is another sad day in our village - RIP SLB. With not much else to go on, I've decided to view Harrow Orn as he's had the tendency to throw random accusations around without basing them on logic and I can confirm he is EVIL. I said Daft Row was good and the wolf knows that hence the copied message style today. Don't fall for it.
Let's get this back on track everyone.
Your Seer.

 

Nope !
I missed most of day 1 and half of day 2 because of work commitments.

Lets face it at the moment there is a lot of guess work and no substance. I'm sure you read my first post this morning when i suggested that we can no longer bank on Norway and Meh being good if a player has been turned from good to a 3rd werewolf.

That about it really

 

That wraps it up for me. If I had to choose who was evil, without the benefit of messages, out of Harrow and Moog undoubtedly Harrow would get my vote. If Harrow is good then Evil lose their best player tomorrow. It's a no brainer tonight.