Christmas Werewolf - Day 3

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by miked2006, Dec 7, 2022.

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Day 3 vote

  1. AshdonWFC

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. Cthulhu

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. HappyHornet24

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Horace_goes_up_north

    27.3%
  5. Optimistichornet

    18.2%
  6. Otter

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  7. SkylaRose

    54.5%
  8. Steve Leo Beleck

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. TomWatfordFC

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. tonycotonstache

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. wfcSinatra

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
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  1. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Frame maybe but we dont know whether she is the wolf or the seer do we.
    She is likely one if she has made that mistake in a post from Skyla and also in one of the messages.
     
  2. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    In other good news, I have cracked the second code in the Seer's message (well, the second messanger). Won't share because we need the Seer to confirm what it is if they reveal their identity. Jolly Exciting!
     
  3. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    Yeah that's a very flimsy way to heap allergations on myself. I just checked that now and yes I did make a typo. We all make mistakes when typing. I hold my hand up and say yes that was me, but to use that as proof I am not good? Come on. I am a florist, not a typist. It seems that second message is trying every little tactic possible to get rid of the villagers. I am not evil in anyway, neither have I hinted at it. By all means, I you think I am lying then vote for me based on a lie. You will lose another good person and more or less win the game for team evil. We need to stick together to root out the wolves, and turning against each other based on, what has to be stated as, pathetic evidence is showing how desperate team evil are to win this early.
     
  4. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    Wow, did you randomly generate roles Mike? Cos Skyla as a Wolf would be hilarious from the randomiser!
     
  5. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    All roles were selected using a random number generator on Excel.
     
    wfcSinatra likes this.
  6. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    So are you saying you think the first message today is from the Seer then and the second one is from the Wolf?
     
  7. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    So please check my maths

    We have 7 good and 4 evil

    if we lynch a good tonight this goes down to 6g 4e
    Wolves then can potentially munch 3 good so tomorrow morning 3g 4e or if 2 hit 4g 4e

    if we lynch a bad this goes down to 6g 3e
    Wolves then get to munch 2 so tomorrow morning 4g 3e or if hit 1 5g 3e
     
  8. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    If Skyla had played the game more, I would have had her pegged as an “evil” from Day 1 as I thought some of her posts were very misleading - but I gave her the benefit of the doubt as a “newbie” (while I don’t think experience makes you necessarily better at the game, it does make you familiar with the knowledge that certain roles do or don’t have).
     
  9. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    I’m curious why?
     
  10. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    lol...
     
  11. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    I do yes. Why else would a wolf try to indirectly implicate another villager as a wolf? It's just a way to arouse in-fighting in the village. I cannot say this more clearly than this.. I am not evil, I am good. 100%. I am trying my hardest to explain this in logical terms that everyone who is also good can understand. Lynch me based on hardly any evidence but a finger slip on a keyboard - then it will hurt team good's chances of winning. I am a software engineer by trade (outside of this) I make lots of typo's each day, yesterday was no exception. It's a wreak and flimsy argument, something a wolf would do.
     
  12. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Have to go again in a minute, but to confirm:

    Good
    HH24
    Ashdon
    (maybe Cthulhu)

    Four evil from:
    Horace
    Otter
    Opti
    SLB
    Tom
    Tony
    Skyla
    sinatra
     
  13. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    Deliberate typos now Skyla?
     
  14. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Three of those players knew that steve and moog were both more likely good than evil (the traitor knew for sure; two of the wolves knew it to be likely). We need to look back at yesterday’s play with this in mind, before deciding who to lynch.
     
    Cthulhu likes this.
  15. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    Look at most of my posts on here. I type very quickly at times and let's face it Keighley loves picking up on my errors. It's not something I do on purpose either. I do not get the little red line under errors anymore for some reason either. I promise you all, do not read into this. You are making a huge mistake.
     
  16. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    lead on
     
  17. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    Sounds about right to me.
     
  18. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Im pretty sure you are either very good or very evil if you have written Ashton in your posts and it appears in one set of messages. Can a known good check this is the case please

    Ive tried writing Ashton and i dont get a red line if I write azxdres I do
     
  19. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    Sorry Skyla but I don’t buy it…no one else has misspelt Ashdon all game. If you are the seer I really don’t get why you would view him, it makes no sense on a day like today.

    Therefore you are getting my vote.

    I would still like to know why @Otter is suspicious of me though?
     
  20. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    I get the Steve H bit that's obvious. But what evidence was there yesterday that Moog was likely more good than evil?
     
  21. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    So you are voting for her with a 50% chance of her being the seer?
    If she is team good lose as we go down to 6 good and 4 bad at night with 3 potential kills overnight
    Im now suspicious of you as well
     
  22. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    I can assure you I am very good. Steve-Leo asked me to back up my reasoning for voting for myself yesterday and I did. I had no quarms about doing that, I had nothing to hide. I will vote today based on knowledge and suspects, not blind theories based on a message from a wolf. Seer can view me tomorrow and it will prove to you all I am good. One typo should not put a black mark against a villagers name.
     
  23. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    Don't want to give any names away at this point, but I think it is becoming apparent who the guardian is.
     
  24. SkylaRose

    SkylaRose Administrator Staff Member

    There is very little else I can say to help my cause. Opti has had his reservations about me since yesterday, so I am not at all surprised he has voted for me today. Every right to do so - it's part of the game. I would just like to remind everyone again - voting for me based on what a wolf said in a message is a mistake. They are playing mind games, and that is all it is. I am good. 100%.
     
    Optimistichornet likes this.
  25. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    The traitor knew moog was good as they know all the evil players. Two of the wolves knew each other by yesterday so knew that at least one of steve and moog would have been good.
     
  26. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Hmm,

    I will list my 3 wolves as: Opti, Cthulhu and sinatra at this point.

    I will be voting for Cthulhu tonight though.
     
  27. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Why would you vote Cthulhu when he has been named “good” in a message that may or may not be the Seer’s?
     
  28. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    My mistake, I misread the second message. I saw Cthulhu and evil in the same sentence without reading.

    I've blown my own theory now. So I'd have tonycotonstache instead:

    Opti
    TC
    Sinatra.
     
  29. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    I do not understand why a seer would view ashdon? It makes no sense whatsoever!
     
  30. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    I’m still waiting to see why you think I’m evil?
     
  31. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    I might be having one of those moments where I overthink things and can't see the wood from the trees.

    Agree on traitor, obviously.

    But I still don't get why the two wolves that know each other would think Moog was more likely good than evil? He hadn't been named?
     
  32. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Can you explain. I put it down to a random choice. Maybe you dont want to give away reasoning thats okay
     
  33. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    My current thinking is that the second message is the Seer, primarily because viewing Ashdon makes zero sense. However, I am also inclined to believe Skyla that the typos have been made by different people (I'm pretty sure Ashdon has auto-corrected to Ashton for me at some point in the past).
     
  34. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Late voting on the first two days to hide among the others and dom votes for you yesterday and then taken out.
     
  35. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    We were about 84% sure Ashdon is good. So we gain very little information by confirming that, particularly when our priority should be finding evil players.

    Edit: The past 2 days we have had statistics. I could bore you with Information Theory today if you want.
     
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