Points Progress 17/18

Hello all,

I'm on holiday at the moment so can't do my normal graphs, but here is the the current progress against previous years in a slightly more trimmed back format...

 

Can't get tinypic to work.. will try again later - sorry

 

Ah there you go - I hope it was worth the wait - very insightful...

 

Love it

 

How many accounts does @CarlosKickaballs need?

 

One point from our first game. It's fast becoming a WFC tradition.

 

Didn't you take your spirit level on holiday ffs

 

Aliens...

 

we scored three goals, I think we need graph to compare with all the other years since Sky invented football

 

Hello,

I'm still on holiday so the hand drawn graphs are still the only option, but I've added a little Silva smile to it this week! I always had high hopes for him but the early signs are even better; if nothing else at least I enjoy following Watford again.

 

Sorry for the double post, I put the wrong image up - not a bad one, but not befitting of Marco

 

Can you add an OK Quique and a sad Wally please?

 

Direct fixture comparison:

 

I like this graph, a lot easier to follow than last years.

Although last years was very well done, I found the amount of different graphs a little confusing at times to be honest

 

Good work David and Tom, keep this up all year, nice to see and compare.

 

Well - a point gained there...

The current position is:

• 4 points better than this time last year (5 vs 1). This is 1 better than after the last game.
• 3 points better than the comparable fixtures last year (5 vs 2). This is the same as after the last game
• 2 points better than the '40 point' line (5 vs 3). This is the same as after the last game

<BR/>

 

unbeaten after 3 what's not to like?

 

Welcome back from your hols David.

You found your spirit level I see but did you lose your ruler?
(Is there a reason the 40 point line is not straight in the second graph)?
Cheers

 

Not being pedantic but shouldn't it be rule instead of ruler?

 

Have I been outpedantic-ed?
But I think both can be used.

 

I have 12 inches but I don't use it as a rule.

 

Maybe you should try and use it. Correctly I may add.

 

When she said "you've got a foot" she was referring to the shape not the length

 

Is t not straight enough?

 

The current position is:<ul><li>4 points better than this time last year (8 vs 4). <i>This is the same as after the last game.</i></li><li>5 points better than the comparable fixtures last year (8 vs 3). <i>This is 2 better than after the last game.</i></li><li>4 points better than the '40 point' line (8 vs 4). <i>This is 2 better than after the last game.</i></li></ul><BR/>

 

Okay... I think the forum doesn't work with my formatting from last year so please ignore all the web syntax in my message, I'll sort that out next week!

Some questions were correctly asked about my wobbly 40 point line - I forgot to explain this last week! As it is a comparable fixture graph, I thought I come up with a 40 point line that replicated our comparable fixtures. But I knew one-off fixtures aren't always representative as you one-off games off football throw up surprise. Therefore the patented "David' s 40 point" line groups teams into their positions and then works out, based on previous Watford results in the last 2 years, how many points you would expect to get from the game. The groupings are as follows:

• Top 6 teams (excluding Watford if we happen to finish here)
• Middle 7 teams
• Bottom 6 teams (excluding Watford when we did finish here

It also factors in home and away results.

In the grand scheme of things all of this analysis was a bit of a waste of time, but hey I'm a geek, so please humor me!

 

Not a waste of time at all.

Great stats . Keep up the good work.

 

You do great work on this thread and I really enjoy it so if you are a geek then I am too.
Couple of things though - your legend for the two previous years looks much the same though one comes out with dashes - should you change colours? Also your graph against comparable teams shows we were behind the previous year for the whole of last year - is that really true? The other graph shows us ahead and behind at times and I would have thought both would show that.

 

The presentation of points vs. comparable teams is dependent on the order of the fixtures, unlike points vs. number of games. You can see that there are sharp increases in the 16/17 season in the middle of the season, but they aren't sufficient to make up the poor start.

It would be interesting to make three graphs at the end of the season. All being points vs. comparable teams, but ordered by the fixture list from one of the past three seasons.

 

Thanks for that - stupid of me - yes it shows the order going on this season's fixtures not last year. What it does show is how few points we might have expected in the opening dozen or so fixtures this year if we performed as we did last year. Thankfully that has not happened.

 

I did double check the very slow start to last year's graph when I first pulled it together as it looked weird! We just happened to do really badly in all those games last year.

 

Sorry about the lack of update last week - my computer wasn't working and then I had a really busy week. But now I'm back free again, and things are looking rosy!

The current position is:

• 4 points better than this time last year (11 vs 7). This is 3 better than after the last game.
• 7 points better than the comparable fixtures last year (11 vs 4).This is 2 better than after the last game.
• 5 points better than the '40 point' line (11 vs 6). This is the same as after the last game.

<BR/>

 

Excellent - thanks David

 

Thanks for the update. Unless I'm reading this wrong- I thought we drew away to B'mouth in both 15/16 and 16/17. The "Comparable Fixtures" graph above appears to show we took 3 points in 15/16.