Exit Poll & result discussion

Discussion in 'Taylor's Tittle-Tattle - General Banter' started by hornmeister, May 5, 2010.

  1. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Please only vote here if and how you have voted in this general election. Out of interest it's to see whether firstly the discussion thread changed opinion but mainly to see how the forum demographic differs from that of the general public.

    The Poll is anonymous.
     
  2. afanof

    afanof First Team

    Is that 7 postal votes so far?
     
  3. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    i have voted in the poll because i have known for definate which party i will be voting for. as for postal votes apparently it is very high, over 40% of votes cast will be postal votes only trouble is it is a system which is open to fraud and there has been an upsurge in postal voting this election.
     
  4. afanof

    afanof First Team

    It's an exit poll. You might get run over by a bus on the way to the polling station.
     
  5. The Voice of Reason

    The Voice of Reason First Team Captain

    I think this should be made a sticky for a couple of days.
     
  6. krisvad

    krisvad Forum Viking

    I'm following the UK election with great anticipation. Could be a rea lturning point for Britain but most likely it won't be.
     
  7. Bunk

    Bunk Reservist

    Do you think the yanks are being bombarded with the UK elections on their TV like we are every time they have one?

    I think not!!
     
  8. Defunct

    Defunct First Team

    Looking at the above and from what I'm hearing so far I'm getting a tad scared. Are people REALLY voting lib dems? Someone tell me this is a joke?
     
  9. krisvad

    krisvad Forum Viking

    In Denmark it is a fairly big thing for some reason. Tonight, our equivalent of BBC1 will do an election night with live reports, exit polls, results as they come in etc. I think the reason is you are on the cusp of a major change in the way Britain is run politically. If the Lib Dem's succeed in getting whoever they point at for office to agree to change the election laws - it will be a major step in a new direction. Time will tell if it's the right direction - but definitely new.
     
  10. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    To be expected admin. There's a younger and probably less affluent demographic on the site, also people who vote Tory are less likely to shout about it. There's always a swing back to Tory in election results.

    I'm worried it will be hung and we'll have that clown Brown trying to cobble together some sort of leadership which will be toothless and we'll end up having to go through this again in a few months time.
     
  11. Prentice

    Prentice Administrator

    Brown would be a better leader for Britain right now than Cameron, that's for sure.
     
  12. UEA_Hornet

    UEA_Hornet First Team Captain

    I concur, hence my reason for just voting Labour.

    As for meister's point about there having to be another election in a few months - I bet there will be another GE within 18 months of today, whoever wins.
     
  13. Timbers

    Timbers Apeman

    Where is the other option?
     
  14. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Looking at the original poll the numbers didn't warrant it. There's going to be a high error % so the minority party volumes will be insignificant. So I'm afraid if you don't vote for the big 3 it's not going to make a difference on the polls here.

    Where there's a large sample, in the real GE for example the error rate exponentially reduces so obviously don;t let that dissuade you from voting monster raving as you were intending.
     
  15. Prentice

    Prentice Administrator

    :dismay:
     
  16. Bunk

    Bunk Reservist

    I concur too, but I look at what my local MP can do for the area too.

    Harrington, rich boy from Leeds who doesnt know St Albans Road from St Albans or Clare Ward who has a second home in Westminster when she lives within spitting distance of London here in watford.

    For me, its picking the best of an average bunch
     
  17. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Hertsmere?

    I wouldn't let being born elsewhere put you off as long as the MP now lives locally and actively participates but it depends on whether your choice is in the national or local interest regarding policies you believe in. Certainly Claire Ward in my view should not have a 2nd residence paid for by us due to the constituency locality to westminster, but at least she has assisted in local affairs (Bang bang for example). Hertsmere was pretty strongly Tory in 05 53% - 27% Labour, Lib Dem at 18% according to Wikipedia so with current predicted trends it's unlikely you'll get a change.
     
  18. Bunk

    Bunk Reservist

    I dont live in Hertsmere, I live in da Watford blud.
     
  19. PotGuy

    PotGuy Forum Fetishist

    As opposed to what? Labour, who have had 13 years in power but have run up an obscene deficit for very little reward, have gone on a few illegal crusades that nobody in the country wanted (not that that sort of thing ever mattered to labour) to kill some Muslims and have lied twice about referendums that were in their manifesto?

    Or Tory, who want to cut spending to squat and go on another Thatcherite privatisation campaign? My Aunt is high up in the education system, and she is saying that their contingency plan for the Tory spending policy is not pretty. Massive, massive redundancies, especially for Learning Support people which there are already not enough of.

    I don't particularly like the Lib Dems, but I'll be damned if I'm voting for the other two. I don't like the EU, I don't want to get rid of our nukes and I don't want that ridiculous asylum amnesty shyte. But they are still streets ahead of incompetent liar and toff.
     
  20. Prentice

    Prentice Administrator

    To be fair PG, it's a global recession, it's not entirely down to Labour that Britain themselves are in debt.

    Agree with the rest though.
     
  21. PotGuy

    PotGuy Forum Fetishist

    Oh yeah, I'm not placing the blame entirely at Brown's door for the global recession! He didn't help though. Coming to power in 97 on the proviso Labour economy wouldn't be boom-and-bust, and then proceeded to boom and bust anyway. I hate all the main parties, I just hate Lib Dems a bit less.
     
  22. UEA_Hornet

    UEA_Hornet First Team Captain

    And yet this apparently huge recession still sees mass employment, low interest rates, very few house repossessions and in future a probable profit on the investments made to prop up the banks. I'm not saying everything is rosy, there are cuts to come whoever wins power today, but this recession is nothing like the busts we saw under the Tories!
     
  23. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired


    Oops my mistake.

    Watford was a pretty tight constituency in 05

    Party Candidate Votes % ±%
    Labour Claire Ward 16,575 33.6 −11.7
    Liberal Democrat Sal Brinton 15,427 31.2 +13.8
    Conservative Ali Miraj 14,634 29.6 −3.7
    Green Steve Rackett 1,466 3.0 +1.1
    UKIP Kenneth Wight 1,292 2.6 +1.4
    Majority 1,148 2.3
    Turnout 49,394 64.8 +3.7
    Labour hold Swing −12.8

    With nearly a 12% swing against Labour last time She got in by the skin of her teeth. Reckon on a Tory/Lib MP for you this time but that's very close
     
  24. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    No one wants to see mass unemployment and spending cuts however current spending is unsustainable. Problem is it's all (well 1/4 of it) been sustained on credit UEA and they intend this to continue. We're going to end up like Greece unless something changes. Don't forget that they sold of our Gold reserves at a time of prosperity and recent record low prices:forehead:, something that could have been used to help us out of the hole now.

    I wonder if Brown has shares in Loans.co.uk because it looks like a classic consolidate all of your debts into one easy to manage payment.
     
  25. Defunct

    Defunct First Team

    Great summing up. I remember part of my mortgage hitting 18% under the last Conservative government, my first flat falling in value by 20% and NOT recovering, and every single MP with their noses in the trough. God forbid they get charge of the economy again, or even worse, the Libs :eek::eek::eek:.
     
  26. PotGuy

    PotGuy Forum Fetishist

    I didn't say it was a huge recession, I said it was a huge deficit, and it is a deficit Labour are increasing all the time!

    It is a false position to say house repossessions are low etc etc because it is sustained by unmanageable debt.

    Brown sold the gold for squat to make his finances look rosy for the election, and he is propping up every thing with debt for the same reason. We need cuts yes, but we need to cut out all of this cut-throat capitalist, hedge fund, billion-pound bonus nonsense.

    We also need to export some bloody products! That would be the best way to reduce the bleeding deficit.
     
  27. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Oh and don't let the mass employment kid you the way it is reported has changed.

    At last count approx 2.5Million in total.

    But there are over 8 million classed as "economically innactive"

    An increase in students and people in long term part time work because they can't find full time work.

    http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/...t-falls-as-economic-inactive-hits-record.html

    Oh and here's an interesting statistic,
    50% of over thirties unemployed take more than 6 months to gain a job.
     
  28. berkshirehorn

    berkshirehorn presumably I upset/disappointed someone

    Whether Labour or Tory the next government is going to have to find massive savings in public spending so your point about education is not relevant. Labour are responsible for the bloated public sector, over regulation driven by blind dogma, debasing and devaluing being proud of our own country, putting the demands of minorities above the needs of the huge silent decent majority. Can you see France or Germany or any other country so willingly see its heritage sidelined?

    I did not vote Labour.
     
  29. Defunct

    Defunct First Team

    Millions in the country are pleased that the taliban is being eradicated, it means less chance of being blown up on the way to work. Illegal? :dismay:
     
  30. UEA_Hornet

    UEA_Hornet First Team Captain

    A deficit for which legislation has been put forward to guarantee it being halved within 4 years by Labour.

    Look, I'm no fan of Gordon Brown. It's why I stopped paying my party membership subs and why they won't be getting a penny from me until he's gone. There are definitely some skeletons in the cupboard (PFI is an economic timebomb waiting to explode). My problem is the Tories go along with the vast majority of those dodgy deals. If anything not only do they approve of them, they'd have gone further! I know you're not advocating voting for them either though so I'll leave it at that.
     
  31. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Agreed none of them are perfect that's why I too voted Eustace
     
  32. RussWatford

    RussWatford Reservist

    I think the Lib Dem's are on for taking Watford this year, fair play to them. We can't forget these votes are spread over different constituencies though, mine being South West Herts.
     
  33. hornmeister

    hornmeister Tired

    Due to border changes I'm now Uxbridge rather than Ruilsip-Northwood. Didn't suss that till last week.

    The Watford supporter catchment area must cover loads of constituencies.
     
  34. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    People talk about cuts in public spending as though they are inherantly negative. They are not.

    I don't want my government to see the taxpayer as a bottomless pocket to be tapped to continue to pump cash into wasteful public purses.

    People waste money they have not earned, it's a fact of life. Government departments waste cash. If we can stop wasting just some of it, then great.

    The bottom line here is I believe I know how to spend my cash better than ANY government, so I'm voting for the party who wants to take the least of it. If it means some lefty teachers or some civil servants get the sack, then good.
     
  35. afanof

    afanof First Team

    I've voted but it won't make any difference as my MP has one of the safest seats in the country even though he's never had my support.

    PS the colours are the wrong way round. :forehead:
     

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