Covid-19 Virus

Discussion in 'Taylor's Tittle-Tattle - General Banter' started by Hornet4ever, Jan 30, 2020.

  1. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    Just sayin' it as I see it...
     
  2. leighton buzzard horn

    leighton buzzard horn Squad Player

    I'm in Dubai currently and it is the same here. A few people wearing masks but that's about it. I might stock up on loo roll and hand gel to sell back home.
     
  3. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    This just encourages the same morons to panic-purchase food too ?
     
  4. Hornet4ever

    Hornet4ever WFC Forums Last Man Standing Winner 2018/2019

  5. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

  6. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    Those arent masks they are the women.
     
  7. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    Italian journalist lands in London on flight from Milan and guess what happens...
    ...
     
  8. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Is that a WHO model?

    You also can't just randomly pluck a figure of 10% and do some 'maths' on that. That kind of 'logic' is what causes mass panic. The virus first appeared in late November/early December. After 3 and a half months, 0.0014% of the world has been infected.
     
  9. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    I've seen a few things saying that smokers are also more vulnerable to the virus, but one thing I haven't seen any speculation on is the effect of general air pollution; northern Italy has the worst air pollution in Europe, and Chinese cities generally have the worst air pollution in Asia. Tehran is also amongst the worst cities in the world for air pollution - surely it is also not just a coincidence that the virus appears to have generally spread more and had the most damaging effects in areas that were incredibly high in smog?
     
    zztop likes this.
  10. Moose

    Moose First Team Captain

    What if you follow a team that’s been getting you down for a long while? Will that affect your immune system?
     
  11. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    Fool! Don't you recognise a patented WTF model when you see one?
     
  12. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    Perhaps, though considering Juve and Inter have been doing fairly well there's probably not a strong correlation.
     
  13. ST1968

    ST1968 First Year Pro

    Really really pleased that after 25 years my first endowment policies (can explain to younger readers) matures this month.

    As they say...timing is everything.

    Fortunately property was a tad cheaper in those days so a 20% drop in value since my maturity statement of a month ago is single digit thousands hit rather than a six figure sum.
     
    Jumbolina likes this.
  14. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    It's not only a seafood market though, it sells a variety of live animals including pangolins, bats, rabbits and marmots.

    https://www.bbc.com/news/world-51235105

    It is believed that bats were probably the most likely original source of the virus:

    https://www.businessinsider.de/inte...sars-bats-animals-to-humans-2020-1/?r=US&IR=T
     
  15. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    It's the hope of survival that kills you.
     
    scummybear, HappyHornet24 and Moose like this.
  16. Arakel

    Arakel First Team

    I already stated where that model came from, and also stated it was a quarter of the low end estimate of that model.

    https://www.businessinsider.com/cor...ld-hit-3-billion-adults-harvard-expert-2020-3

    No one is plucking anything from the air.
     
  17. Keighley

    Keighley First Team

  18. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    It seems like Lipsitch is. Very vague to talk about 'computer models'. I'm a Data Scientist so have a fair bit of actual modelling experience.

    From reading the article, he has already amended his figures to a lower number as he didn't take in to consideration children... seems to be a pretty big oversight. It was widely known before his figures came out that the virus was affecting children in a much different way.

    The article also continues to explain how his model is based on the spread of the virus in China. It appears he may not have modelled for different countries health care systems, the possible impact of weather on the virus, the impact of improved testing and treatment practices, or different strains of the virus not being as deadly.

    You can make a 'computer model' follow any narrative you like.
     
  19. Arakel

    Arakel First Team

    Yes, he might be wrong. No one has said otherwise. I'm sure a lot of the info that's currently known is wrong. That's the nature of dealing with an unfolding previously unknown medical challenge. Hope for the best, prepare for the worst.
     
  20. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    Do any of these models confirm whether I will be able to go on 2 booked holidays in May to;
    1/ Hungary & Prague and
    2/ Finland.

    I'd really like to know now.
    Thanks. TuT.
     
  21. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    [​IMG]
     
  22. Bwood_Horn

    Bwood_Horn Squad Player

    wots airfix go 2 do wiv it m8
     
  23. Clive_ofthe_Kremlin

    Clive_ofthe_Kremlin Squad Player

    Stock markets plummet, oil prices crash. US shale oil companies in $6tn debt and collapse could set off a domino effect.

    It's going to be like War of the Worlds isn't it? Just when you think the all conquering monster can't be stopped, it's the tiniest thing on earth that brings them crashing down....
     
    StuBoy and Moose like this.
  24. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    Ah ok. Good enough for me. If the WHO says I can't go, that fair enough. I'm off to buy some loo rolls and pasta.
     
  25. Cude>2<

    Cude>2< First Team Captain

    Sounds like a well balanced diet. Would like to know the recipe please.
     
  26. Moose

    Moose First Team Captain

    Shale oil, the wrongest thing at the wrongest time.
     
    Diamond likes this.
  27. fuzzy73

    fuzzy73 Squad Player

    Tom Cruise?
     
  28. UEA_Hornet

    UEA_Hornet First Team Captain

    Anthony McNamee?
     
    WillisWasTheWorst likes this.
  29. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    Simple. Just mix the pasta and loo rolls and season to taste. The best thing is there's no need to wipe your arse when you next have a crap.
     
  30. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth First Team Captain

    Rod Thomas.
     
  31. Clive_ofthe_Kremlin

    Clive_ofthe_Kremlin Squad Player

    Wilfred Zaha's genitals?
     
  32. a19tgg

    a19tgg First Team

    Regarding the death rate, one of the cruise ships provided an almost perfect set up to give as a better idea of what it actually is, well below 1%:

    https://slate.com/technology/2020/0...hFOTw9kdQOAMPoSiS9Wzfow9W1EejbhrsFysLbmP7ZZ50

    It also appears that it’s not just age alone that puts people at risk, in most cases it’s age coupled with a pre existing condition which is often respiratory based. This nearly 70 year old British couple tested positive and were quarantined but never developed any symptoms because they were otherwise healthy:

    https://www.theguardian.com/world/2...ract-virus-on-flight-from-heathrow-to-vietnam

    So in other words it’s almost complete benign and often symptomless or very mild amongst otherwise healthy people below 70.
     
    The Voice of Reason and zztop like this.
  33. cyaninternetdog

    cyaninternetdog Forum Hippie

    Is there any way of knowing what we are being told is the truth?
     
  34. Moose

    Moose First Team Captain

    Just by who is telling you it.
     
  35. Irishorn

    Irishorn Gael Force

    Not sure if the whole thing is being hyped up, but I have, with deep regret, decided to abandon my trip to the Vic this weekend with my boys. They have accepted it, again with disappointment. I simply would not feel comfortable on the planes and airport buses, to the extent that it would take away the enjoyment of the trip. I lose out on the costs of the flights and the match tickets, but it could be worse. There will be many other opportunities.
     

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