Werewolf - Road To Qatar - Day 1

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by Otter, Nov 16, 2022.

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Day 1 lynching

Poll closed Nov 16, 2022.
  1. AshdonWFC

    7.1%
  2. Burnsy

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Cthulhu

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. domthehornet

    7.1%
  5. HappyHornet24

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  6. Harrow Orn

    85.7%
  7. Horace_goes_up_north

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. miked2006

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. nornironhorn

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  10. Optimistichornet

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. Steve Leo Beleck

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  12. TomWatfordFC

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  13. tonycotonstache

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  14. wfcmoog

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  15. wfcSinatra

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  16. With A Smile

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
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  1. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    what do we think this is all about. I don’t recognise the quote from anywhere?
     
  2. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    Hope it goes well.
     
    Optimistichornet likes this.
  3. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Standard start. No very obvious clues. Good idea to @ people fairly soon if they havent shown up. Do we lynch inactives?
     
  4. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Nah, let's just vote them off. One of them is a wolf and they will copy my strategy of posting something inane just to avoid suspicion.
     
  5. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Nice try Wolfie ;)
     
    Optimistichornet likes this.
  6. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Seems similar to previous identifiers in the last game
     
  7. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Well, its not that far from Abu Dhabi to Qatar, so you should have been here before most of us.
     
    HappyHornet24 and Cthulhu like this.
  8. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Agree there will likely be some middle east related special character
     
  9. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    As suspected with day 1 messages a shot in the dark then.
     
    TomWatfordFC and Cthulhu like this.
  10. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Do you think that they copied the message style or it's an experienced player?

    I do find it odd that only one of the messages has gone for a code.
     
  11. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    I cant remember if it was the wolf or the seer who used that style last time.
     
  12. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    The code only helps though when someone susses out what it means. We've had codes in the past that have been so complicated that none of us had a clue what it related to.
    We also know that this can be overly hung on too, which isn't always helpful.
     
  13. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    I think we are probably all reasonably experienced
     
  14. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Precisely, easily to get overly hung up early on especially
     
  15. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    I think I have an idea what the code may be going by the clues. Could be miles off mind but it's the only thing we have.

    I'm inclined to think that the seer would use the code more than the wolf. Unless they wanted to sow confusion.
     
  16. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    It caused confusion last time if I remember correctly
     
  17. I don't think it matters so much that we work out the code or reveal it does it. It works more to help the seer confirm who they were throughout at some point.
     
  18. Burnsy

    Burnsy First Team

    Hi all, sorry for delay in replying! Had a team meeting and then had to do the WC Sweepstake in the office - only then did I remember this! Will have a catch up now!
     
  19. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    So we've got both messages. Who are we going to turn on?

    I say @Optimistichornet , because even if he's good, there's still a chance he'll castrate us.
     
    Optimistichornet likes this.
  20. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    Careful you don't mirror the first message there. Especially as we don't know which is which yet.
     
  21. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    Being named on day one puts me in the frame then. Surprised message 2 doesn’t have a code of any sort which gives me vibe message 1 is probably a more experience player than the sender of message 2.

    Random quote and code though.
     
  22. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    Which team did you get? I got Iran
     
  23. Burnsy

    Burnsy First Team

    Australia. And we are doing a top scorer one as well and I drew Richarlison.

    First person to draw got Brazil and Harry Kane - how’s your luck!
     
  24. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    I had to go back to see what I'd mirrored ! - just shows you the power of subliminal advertising.
     
  25. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Here are the reasons I believe message 2 was from the wolf (of course I would say that, as message 1 said I was good...)

    The second message was received 4 minutes after Otter posted the initial message.

    It looks likely that whoever was sending the second message, was waiting for the first message. I imagine this is potentially because they were waiting to see if the first message named anyone as evil. If so, I imagine both messages would have said someone was evil.

    Also, interestingly the second message started with "Morning". This is despite the fact it was sent at 13.04.

    I've a couple of thoughts on that:
    1) Are we all in the same time-zone? If not, that could be a clue as to who sent message 2 (which I believe to be from the wolf).
    2) The message could have been drafted in advance - earlier in the morning - but the sender wanted to wait to make sure the seer didn't name anyone as evil so hit send as soon as the seer's message came through and forgot to change their draft.

    I was one of those who started my post today with "Morning".

    The others were:
    Dom
    Ashdon
    Horace
    SLB
    HH24
    WaS

    Only one person in the above list began a comment after 12 noon (i.e after morning) with "Morning" - With A Smile. However it was at 12.02 so I can give them the benefit of the doubt I think.

    I'm not sure who we should go for tonight unless we pick someone inactive (haven't checked to see who has been active).
     
  26. TomWatfordFC

    TomWatfordFC Reservist

    Clearly the second messanger was waiting for the other messanger to blink first. The time difference between them reading the first message and sending their own is quite remarkably fast - either not a lot of thought went into it, or it had already been drafted.

    Not made any progress deciphering the code in message one. Slightly inclined to say message 1 is more likely the Seer at this point.
     
  27. tonycotonstache

    tonycotonstache Squad Player

    That would explain the Morning part then!
     
  28. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Post count so far:

    AshdonWFC 3
    Burnsy 2
    Cthulhu 8
    domthehornet 7
    HappyHornet24 2
    Harrow Orn
    Horace_goes_up_north 3
    miked2006 2
    nornironhorn 3
    Optimistichornet 9
    Steve Leo Beleck 2
    TomWatfordFC 2
    tonycotonstache 6
    wfcmoog 4
    wfcSinatra 1
    With A Smile 5

    @Harrow Orn not yet posted so I'll likely be voting them this evening unless anything else comes up (or they post)
     
  29. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    Harsh !

    I do think the rest of your thought process makes sense though
     
  30. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Agree - I think the “experience” card is one that is overplayed. Plus, it counts for nothing - I’ve played a lot of these games now and am no less in the dark most of the time than someone playing their first game.
     
  31. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I’m inclined to agree with @nornironhorn - if I had to bet I would guess the first message was the Seer’s, the second the Wolf. I don’t see any logic in the seer waiting for the wolf to post, but it does make sense for the wolf to wait for the reasons norn outlined above. If this is right, it would mean norn is good and Ashdon is unproven. No proof of any of this, obviously but nothing more to go on on Day 1.
     
  32. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    As somebody who has played the role of wolfy a few times in recent iterations of this game, I was never brave enough to go straight to naming an evil on day one.

    My inclination is that message 1 is the seer purely given there is an attempt to codify the message which will give them an out later in the game. If this is the case, then message 2 looks reactionary and there to cause confusion.

    Day 1 therefore will be a total shot in the dark as always.
     
  33. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    What time do votes need to be in for @Otter ?
     
  34. Optimistichornet

    Optimistichornet Penguin Assassin

    I tend to agree that there is not a lot to go on today. My feeling is that the first message is the seer because of the code so Norn is likely good. ashdon is unproven.

    i will probably go for an inactive player.
     
  35. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    8pm close
     
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