April Fool Werewolf 2020 Day 3

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by Diamond, Apr 3, 2020.

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Day 3 - Who's going to be lynched?

Poll closed Apr 4, 2020.
  1. Wfcmoog

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  2. Nornironhorn

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. miked2006

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Lowerrous

    41.7%
  5. GoingDown

    16.7%
  6. Cassetti’s Beard

    8.3%
  7. domthehornet

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. HappyHornet24

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  9. Horace_goes_up_north

    8.3%
  10. steve harrow

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  11. Optimistichornet

    25.0%
  12. BigRossLittleRoss

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
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  1. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    I suspect we have 12 different opinions at the moment...

    But as above I'm wary of Horace being named good by what I think is a wolf.

    Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk
     
  2. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    mike, moog, HH24, CB and I have all included you (and Opti) in our lists of top suspects. You're the only two people to feature in all our lists.

    It's not an overall majority, but it's a decent chance if we all went in on one of you two.

    Funnily enough, the only person that has so far come out with a list of top suspects but hasn't named you in them, was Opti...
     
  3. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Just trying to catch up by why has Opti voted for himself?
     
  4. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    He's under strong suspicion of at least being the traitor, though could also be a wolf, and so he's trying to bluff.
     
  5. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Thanks Lowerrous, its rather peculiar behaviour.
     
  6. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    Very.
     
  7. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Ignore lowerrous' post. That isn't the reason Opti gave for why he voted for himself. This is:

     
  8. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Why have you named both CB and moog? Either message 1 is the Seer (CB is evil; moog is unknown) or message 2 is the Seer (moog is good; CB is unknown but more likely good than evil)
     
  9. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Thanks Norn, that's still an odd choice to vote for himself though. Why didn't he vote for CB if he was sure that he was evil?
     
  10. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Has there been any obvious collaboration between players or deflecting? We have a Beta and a Traitor who both know who the Alpha is.

    I was hoping by effectively accusing everyone, eventually someone would be dumb enough to give themselves away by defending their colleague. I haven't seen anything though.
     
  11. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Have we put Steve_harrow to the question yet? Doesn't show much until recently and then seems to be trying to lead us towards a specific outcome.
     
  12. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Sorry - just realised I misread your post. Ignore my waffling.
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  13. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    He has been a little under the radar along with Dom.
     
  14. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    Ah, so by numbers you mean random hunches, not probability or logic.

    I started to look for the the aforementioned lists naming me. Didn't remember CB's so looked at his first (most likely missed it due to the typo).

    This is it for anyone wondering:

    Two amusing things for me here.

    Firstly, he provides no logic. Literally just throwing names out there.

    Secondly, he includes you in his list yet you are using it as a reason to vote for me?

    So I had a further look at the other lists....

    Mike's initial list included you as well before his 'gut instinct' decided him to point the blame further in my direction.

    In addition, HH24 has you in her list.

    Can you see how paper thin your 'numbers' are?
     
  15. miked2006

    miked2006 Premiership Prediction League Proprietor

    A clever player would see which way the tide was turning and might want to get ahead of it.

    But fair enough - I do think that GD and Steve are more suspicious than you given this.

    See above.
     
  16. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    Read my post again :rolleyes: - I'm just counting the people who named both opti and nornironhorn in their list of top suspects.

    My list of suspects was earlier.
     
  17. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Yes, sorry - I corrected myself in a later post (but failed again because I forgot to include your quote :()
     
  18. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    The key part of opti's post is this:
    "by all means go and lump on. but ask yourself this, would an evil player at this stage of the game really vote to remove themselves from the game."

    Sounds like an attempted bluff to me.
     
  19. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    Based on my main theory, he's third in my list of suspects after opti and norn.
     
  20. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    OK - I want us to avoid a random spread of scattergun voting. There are widely varying suspicions, understandably, as we're flying blind, but I believe it would be useful if we all state who we vote for, before we do it and adjust according to what we think is the best outcome for team good.

    All things considered, if I were forced to vote right at this minute based on suspicion, I would vote for

    Steve Harrow
     
  21. Sorry all, my life is currently taking over so I'm not really concentrating on this game at all. Mini Horace has been a grisly bugger all day.

    Is it worth the Masons revealing themselves yet to help team good? All 3 should be alive as far as I can see and may be a good time to reveal yourselves and your combined thoughts in the confused situation good are currently in.
     
  22. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    Just busy with work in spells Mr Moog. Or should I say chief...


    Kidding.

    Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk
     
  23. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Steve Harrow is definitely on my radar. I am also still suspicious of nornironhorn. And miked. I may be way off but I keep coming back to the fact that the Beta was surprised by who the Alpha was, which is why miked is still niggling me.
     
  24. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    I think the evils are from the following list

    1- Opti
    2- Norn
    3- Steve
    4- Dom
    5- Horace

    I think that there is an outside chance that Mike is evil and playing a very good game , but at the moment I see him as mainly good.

    My top 3 choices are Opti, Norn and Horace.
     
  25. steve harrow

    steve harrow Reservist

    Despite you suspecting me, I don't think you're evil, just mistaken.

    Random choices rather than messages. Yeah, that always works out well.

    Sent from my Pixel 3a XL using Tapatalk
     
  26. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    Like Moog said we need to come to some kind of consensus and perhaps form a strategy behind our voting.
     
  27. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I’m off for my daily exercise drill - will come back afterwards to see if there’s any consensus.
     
  28. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    If you want to avoid scattergun voting, then that's a strange choice. I think he's less likely to get the numbers yet.
     
  29. GoingDown

    GoingDown "The Stability"

    Looking at your posts today, you've pretty much named everyone as suspicious at some point. Which whilst it isn't necessarily incorrect, it's showing a scattergun approach and hoping that something sticks with a majority.
     
    Norwayhornet likes this.
  30. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    One thing I can tell you - I absolutely think voting for CB is the wrong path to go down. I believe that message to be the wolf and, although this means CB is unproven, I think it also means the wolf thinks he’s good.
     
  31. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    I'd love to hear some reasons why people think I am evil?

    .....Anyone?

    I keep appearing on these incredibly well thought out lists, yet I'm struggling to see many reasons. It seems to me that some players see me on one list so are just adding me to their own!
     
  32. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Risky if we don't kill off a wolf tonight - Alpha and Beta would surely take out two of the Masons immediately?
     
    nornironhorn likes this.
  33. nornironhorn

    nornironhorn Administrator Staff Member

    The masons definitely shouldn't out themselves yet.
     
    steve harrow likes this.
  34. GoingDown

    GoingDown "The Stability"

    According to HH24, if you're quiet you're evil and to LR if you're not quiet you're evil.
     
  35. Ok fair enough. Just a thought as we're all over the place right now. I just hope they're forming something together.
     
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