November Werewolf - Day Three

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by domthehornet, Nov 16, 2020.

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Day Three - Lynching

  1. WFCSinatra

    75.0%
  2. HappyHornet24

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  3. Burnsy

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  4. Ashdon

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  5. Cassettis Beard

    12.5%
  6. Lowerrous

    12.5%
  7. Cthulhu

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
  8. WFCMoog

    0 vote(s)
    0.0%
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  1. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    If we get this wrong, and the wolves get two kills overnight, Team Evil win.
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  2. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    Understandable.


    Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk
     
  3. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Team Good - and the Seer - have to consider if there is a point at which the latter needs to “out” themselves to make sure we get this right tonight.
    If we then got a wolf, we would be left with:
    - 2 evil, 4 good (only one kill overnight) but probably no seer
    If we then got a traitor, we would be left with:
    - 2 evil, 3 good (2 kills overnight) but again probably no seer

    If Cthulhu is a member of Team Good, he has done us no favours by voting early as it’s one less vote for a confirmed evil
     
  4. Burnsy

    Burnsy First Team

    Can you explain why you thought a loose theory that certainly isn’t cast iron, was a ‘slam dunk’?
     
  5. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    No one who is good should vote yet - we have to get it right and we can’t split our vote
     
    wfcmoog likes this.
  6. Burnsy

    Burnsy First Team

    While I think some (not all) of what Cthulhu has suggested could carry some weight of truth, it does seem a bit mad to vote so early just out of impatience. I could understand if it was because of outside factors but he has himself said it’s due to impatience!
     
  7. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Moog, I hope I’m not wrong here but I’m placing my faith in msg 1 day 1 being Nisman and you are good. What do you think we should do?
     
  8. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Im playing four dimensional chess HH
     
    HappyHornet24 likes this.
  9. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    A back-up, back-up Seer. Who would have thought..?

    I'm probably going to say at this stage it's either Sinatra or Cassetti's Beard for me today then. We made this mistake with Horace a few days ago and look where we are now. Hunches have not done us any favours so far in this game.

    I'm curious as to what I have done exactly to lay suspicion on myself, Cthulhu? Or maybe it's what I have not done?

    We have had more or less next to nothing concrete to go on in previous days of play?

    The day I voted for Horace, I did so along with four other people, and expressly said that by doing that I gave Horace the opportunity to tie the vote up and send it to a random game of chance as to who got lynched. He, for whatever reason, didn't do that - a very strange move. And here we are... on our third seer of the game (thanks, Dom!) by not playing the views we are given in the messages.
     
  10. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    Oh wow, really sticking your neck out there.
     
  11. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    This game must be enormous fun for the wolves and traitor and also for anyone watching but not playing.

    Moog is good I concur with HH.
    If the seer reveals themselves as HH says we kill at least 1 evil but that may be the traitor. 2/3rds of the time we get a wolf and the remaining wolf kills the seer.
    unlikely we get a fourth back up.
    2/3rds of the time that leaves 3 team good and 2 evil tomorrow but no seer
    1/3rd (two wolves remain) of the time its game over as two wolf kills will mean evil equals good.
    It's the seers choice.
     
  12. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    Crikey, there's still 4 and a half hours to go... forgive me for not voting now. :rolleyes:
     
  13. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    If CB is evil, then Burnsy is evil.

    if Sinatra is evil...I’m not sure; trying to multitask at mo.

    will have closer look, and think, later this afternoon
     
  14. lowerrous

    lowerrous First Team

    You're being no help at all. You've just been shady the whole game.
     
  15. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    Because we have so much to go on, don't we...

    I think it's about time we started taking the names in the messages at face value - it might actually get us somewhere. For that reason, i'd potentially even consider Burnsy given he is the only other character named as 'Evil' so far in this game.

    At least we would have some clarity and something concrete to work off.
     
  16. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    1st day Message 1 presumed Nisman and GOOD 11:39
    12st day second message presumed wolf and EVIL 1:06
    LR first arrives 10:12, Sinatra 10:20, Ash 11:55

    2nd day message 1 ? 12:27
    2nd day message 2 ? 1:46
    LR 9:41, Ash 9:34, Sintra 9:28

    3rd day message 1 10:27 ?
    3rd day message 2 1:27
    LR 9:40 Ash 11:33 Sinatra 12:22

    Speculation

    Sinatra and Ash posted first here later than the first message today
     
  17. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    To be honest, I have been theorising that it could be either. I didn't pay much attention to the logic that made people assume it was the seer, as I am good, but being good doesn't mean that the wolf couldn't have named me.

    However, Nisman said this 'As for the second message, why would you say your viewing yields nothing new before saying someone is good? Gotta love the end statement though.'

    which suggests that either he didn't write the message naming Burnsey as good, or he was deliberately trying to disguise his scent.
     
  18. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    So I arrived:

    One hour and 19 mins before Message 1 which you're confirmed as good on Day

    Three hours before Message 1 on Day 2

    Two hours after Message on Day 3?

    What exactly were you getting at here?
     
  19. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    I suppose you're about to tell me I like a certain music genre too?

    Will save you the hassle - despite being of a potential Stormzy listening age, I dislike Grime strongly.
     
  20. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Well I'm good (as confirmed the other day) and that second message is the Wolf.

    Therefore, Sinatra will be getting my vote.
     
  21. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Day 1 you aren't as far as I am aware Nisman.

    you arrived after the first message today. I presume the first to be the good one
     
  22. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    I meant *you've
     
  23. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Cthulhu is behaving like a traitor, but I'm pretty sure he's focussing on evil people among his accused.
     
  24. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    Nice. Doubt we'll hear much from you again today then.
     
  25. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Reverse traitor
     
  26. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    No change from previous days really.
     
  27. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    I fear evil are gonna win as we probably know the 4 characters that the evil 3 are among, but we seem to be spreading our vote.

    I can't see the poll on mobile but did CB vote already?
     
  28. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    Oh look at the wolfies pretending they dislike each other. bless their hearts
     
  29. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    Me and Cassetti's Beard?
     
  30. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    @HappyHornet24

    I'm basing my actions on an unfounded theory that you are good.

    I believe that we have to vote for one of Burnsy, Sinatra or CB today. I'm pretty certain Burnsy is evil but we need to avoid the traitor if at all possible. I'm also erring towards Sinatra for evil too.

    As for the 3rd evil person, I had Ashdown as my suspect, but that's based only on playing style. CTHULHU is just a loose cannon.
     
    Cthulhu likes this.
  31. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard First Team

    Not yet, best not to rush considering we have until 7 pm.
     
  32. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    he hasn't.
     
  33. wfcmoog

    wfcmoog Tinpot

    Ok, if you're good, it's not so much whether you vote for an evil, its whether we all vote for the same evil. We need the numbers.
     
  34. Cthulhu

    Cthulhu Keyboard Warrior Staff Member

    You and Sinatra and lower rous
     
  35. AshdonWFC

    AshdonWFC Prediction League Champion 2011/12

    You have been playing a loose game - as you said yourself on Day 2, you were just 'slinging mud' and ended up voting for Norn, just because he did for you - a redundant vote.

    I would seriously suggest we play this one today with a straight bat based on what we have been given in the previous days and today.

    3x Evil players named:
    - Burnsy (Day 2)
    - wfcSinatra (Day 3)
    - Cassetti's Beard (Day 3)

    Moog - anything in particular that is making you think Burnsy is nailed on as Evil?
     
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