Summer Werewolf II - DAY 4

Discussion in 'Werewolf: The forum game' started by Harrow Orn, Jun 29, 2017.

  1. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    This is just an observation , no more . But HH you seem to be defending SLB quite a lot more than I would expect . It seems strange you are protecting an outed harlot so vehemently at the cost of other good villagers being lynched.

    Like I say , just an impression , and probably nothing in it .
     
    Last edited: Jun 29, 2017
  2. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    HH24 is defending SLB because the facts make it unlikely that he's the wolf, read my post #56 from yesterday where I broke the logic down.


    I've voted Grrwood, based on the fact that we have nothing else to go on regarding him. The vote was somewhat reluctant because I don't think that the seer has done us any favours today with the style that he wrote his message.
     
  3. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    14 players left
    3 evil players (assuming only one traitor)
    11 good players

    One player lynched tonight
    If that player is evil, tomorrow we have potentially 10 good players vs 2 evil (assuming lynched player is a wolf & only 1 overnight good killed)
    Or: 9 good players vs 2 evil (assuming evil lynched is traitor & 2 good killed overnight)
    If the lynched player is good, we are left with 8 good vs 3 evil (1 good player lynched & 2 good killed overnight)
    If SLB is telling the truth and is the harlot at some point it will be worth him revealing who he's stayed with. If he successfully stays with a good player tonight and survives, that point may be tomorrow if a good player is lynched tonight. Excluding Cassetti's Beard, SLB will know 3 good players by then. With only 8 good players left, that means half (including SLB) can be revealed. The fuller picture of possible evils may then be clearer and it may be more obvious who the Seer should view.*

    If, though, we lynch an evil tonight I would suggest SLB keeps quiet as team good would still be in the driving seat.

    *This obviously on assumption that SLB is telling the truth about being the harlot
     
  4. NW Orn

    NW Orn First Year Pro

    Otter, why keep throwing my name into the mix without anything to back it up ? I keep asking you to come up with good reasons but you just seem to be ignoring me.

    However I do agree that today's only real option is Grrwood.
     
  5. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Eh? How do you know that?
     
    Steve Leo Beleck likes this.
  6. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    Why do you say that?
     
  7. NW Orn

    NW Orn First Year Pro

    Happy, I'm also out later to watch daughter's school play or concert or something. I'm assuming its not the same play (or daughter) :)
     
  8. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    Been looking at the timings of the messages to see if there is any consistencies.

    Day 1:

    Message 1 - 9:27am
    Message 2 - 1:54pm

    Day 2:

    Message 1 - 9:14am
    Message 2 - 10:00am

    Day 3:

    Message 1 - 9:10am
    Message 2 - 9:15am

    Day 4:

    Message 1 - 10:22am
    Message 2 - 11:12am

    Nothing overly obvious stands out except maybe the consistent early Message 1's!
     
  9. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Sorry sorry! I got confused about today's message! Dom is innocent and was named by the seer today.

    I am so bad at this game even when all I have to do is vote :confused:
     
  10. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Ha! Is your daughter a 10 year old playing "Miss Honey" in "Matilda"? If so, hello husband, had no idea you were a member on here ;)
     
    BigRossLittleRoss and Harrow Orn like this.
  11. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    It would be unwise for SLB to reveal who he's stayed with, not so much for any ordinary villagers but if he'd stayed with the seer that could be devastating.

    Instead towards the end of the day why doesn't SLB name 1 or 2 players he wouldn't dare risk staying with?


    Re NW Orn, I stated yesterday that your posting frequency along with your voting pattern why you were on my radar. All I've suggested is for the seer to have a look; yes I voted for you yesterday because I refused to vote for SLB because I am confident that he's good and I put my X where my mouth was.
     
  12. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    True. I had thought that about the Seer (or Guardian). Tomorrow may be too early but, if evil continue to decimate us, there will be a point where the risk will be worth it. The trouble is, with the wolves knowing each other's identities, they have pretty much free reign every night to take out two good players. (I know they might eat the traitor accidentally but that doesn't matter as much as eating another wolf)
     
  13. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    I'm scared to stay at a lot of people's houses Otter to be honest - the ones I think are evil AND the ones I think are so obviously good that they might get munched. Bit of a rubbish situation as it forces me towards staying with those I'm not sure about!

    The only ones I know for definite as Good, I've already stayed there so can't go back. It's the curse of being a dirty stop out.
     
    BigRossLittleRoss likes this.
  14. wfcSinatra

    wfcSinatra Predictor Choker 14/15

    @Harrow Orn - Are wolf and seer only allowed to send ONE message per day? Or can they send a second if they wish to do so..?
     
  15. Harrow Orn

    Harrow Orn Squad Player

    One message mate

    Sent from my SM-G920F using Tapatalk
     
    wfcSinatra likes this.
  16. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Fair enough, but who would you least likely pay a visit? I'm not looking for a reason why, just interested.
     
  17. NW Orn

    NW Orn First Year Pro

    No she's a an 11 year old playing a downtrodden wife in a some play set in Tennessee. Mrs NW Orn did tell me the name but I mustn't have been listening.

    Isn't Mr Happy an egg and chipper ? :)
     
  18. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    I love Miss Honey, I think I might have a crush on her
     
  19. BigRossLittleRoss

    BigRossLittleRoss First Team

    It seems Grr is going to be lynched.

    I dont think its him, defo not Traitor.... possibly wolf not likley.

    My suspicions lie elsewhere. I have an idea who the Traitor might be but I dont want to act on it as it is only that, a suspicion.

    I fear we lynching a good one again but Im going to go with the flow this time and vote Grr unless a counter argument arises this afternoon.
     
  20. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    There's not really another choice annoyingly - If someone else was in my position I'd be voting for them. Team Evil has done brilliantly leaving no other obvious leads for 4 days.

    We can rule out Dom thanks to the seer, but really we could have done with some of the people throwing wild accusations being viewed. I would suggest WAS or Otter for tomorrow, Seer.
     
  21. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    Stay at mine if you want mate! :)
     
  22. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Someone trying to kill off the harlot?
     
  23. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    I'm not sure team evil have done brilliantly or team good have just been awful.
     
  24. NW Orn

    NW Orn First Year Pro

    Have voted for Grrwood as need to leave now.

    Not sure there was any other option really.
     
  25. domthehornet

    domthehornet Moderator Staff Member

    Gut voted
     
    BigRossLittleRoss likes this.
  26. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    Ahh. Same year group though - year 6?

    Mr HH is a Liverpool fan; I think Mr IBB is the Egg & Chipper
     
  27. Otter

    Otter Gambling industry insider

    Interesting vote from dom, Grrwood being evil just doesn't sit right. PJ certainly worth a look from the seer tomorrow though.
     
    Meh! and BigRossLittleRoss like this.
  28. HappyHornet24

    HappyHornet24 Crapster Staff Member

    I am concerned that the wolf may well have highlighted Grrwood as an evil because he knows a couple of us had highlighted him as being "on our radar". But I don't see what else we can do, bar lynching SLB which I'm reluctant to do.
     
  29. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Well he's innocent so knows his message is from the seer and mine is from the wolf so makes sense really. I still think it's either PJ, WAS or possibly you!
     
  30. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    Sadly the witch hunt started by WAS put me in the spotlight, the wolf has jumped on the back of it. Understand there's not really anything else to do than to make sure!
     
  31. With A Smile

    With A Smile First Team

    Grrwood, I would hardly say a witch hunt. On day 1 I made my first vote and then explained why on day 3 and again today.

    What i don't understand is what has stopped you putting up any sort of argument for defending yourself with some sort of evidence or reason
     
  32. PowerJugs

    PowerJugs Doyley Fanatic

    Been inundated with work today, so been much less active than usual. Not surprisingly it makes me look suspicious so fair enough as it's different behaviour from usual self. Even lunch break was cut short.

    I'd be disinclined to vote Grrwood if we had something else to go on but what other choice do we have?
     
  33. Grrwood

    Grrwood Reservist

    It's difficult to put up reasonable arguments to stupid, nonsensical accusations!

    "They all mentioned that the wolves know each other now, they must be evil!" Get a grip. If you're a good player you've helped lose this game. If you're traitor, well played steering everyone down dead ends based on nonsense.
     
  34. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    I had PJ, HH24 and Norway as a pack after night 1's reveal.

    On day 2 I had Steve Harrow and Cthulhu as Norways team.

    Followed the other voters on those days but wonder if any of those are right.
     
  35. Steve Leo Beleck

    Steve Leo Beleck Squad Player

    Voting With a Smile. Sorry if I'm wrong but can't get past your posts this morning:

    1. Claiming not to be sure if the wolves know each other.
    2. Writing that you'll be sure the wolves will "avoid each other like the plague" sounded like a warning to a fellow wolf not to engage with your posts and draw attention to your teamwork.
    3. Encouraging the Seer to view me. It seems settled in most people's minds that I'm the Harlot, even Steve Harrow and BRLR thought that yesterday when they voted for me. Seems like an attempt to influence the Seer into wasting a viewing.
     

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