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Discussion in 'The Hornets' Nest - Watford Chat' started by Sting, Feb 14, 2018.

  1. Sting

    Sting Reservist

  2. hornetboy1

    hornetboy1 First Team

    10 Watford 46
    11 Bournemouth 45
    12 Swansea 42
    13 West Ham 40
    14 Newcastle 38
    15 Huddersfield 38
    16 Palace 37
    17 Brighton 34
    18 Stoke 32
    19 Southampton 31
    20 WBA 30

    I very much doubt it will correct as there are far too many low totals, but this is what it came out like.
     
  3. Ghost of Barry Endean

    Ghost of Barry Endean Squad Player

    • Pos:TeamPts
    • 10[​IMG]Watford44
    • 11[​IMG]Bournemouth43
    • 12[​IMG]Newcastle38
    • 13[​IMG]Crystal Palace37
    • 14[​IMG]West Ham37
    • 15[​IMG]Brighton35
    • 16[​IMG]Southampton34
    • 17[​IMG]Huddersfield33
    • 18[​IMG]Swansea32
    • 19[​IMG]Stoke29
    • 20[​IMG]West Brom28
     
    RookeryDad likes this.
  4. Ghost of Barry Endean

    Ghost of Barry Endean Squad Player

    I was 'realistic' erring on the side of hopeful - wins against WBA, Bournemouth, Palace and Newcastle plus a couple of draws. 6 losses. Even if a couple of those wins are losses or draws we should still be okay. The thing is there are so many teams scrapping it out, and assuming WBA are gone, that you are effectively banking on quite a few upsets against big clubs for more than a couple of the 11 in the scrap to go on a serious run.
     
  5. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    I'm not using this tool as its impossible to predict any match at all and you end up just using gut feel to average out the results. I hope you're right but to state the obvious, a run of W4 D1 L6 is a hell of a better return than we've seen over the last 3 months.
     
  6. Relegation Certs

    Relegation Certs Reservist

    Bad news:
    • 10[​IMG]Crystal Palace47
    • 11[​IMG]Southampton42
    • 12[​IMG]Bournemouth42
    • 13[​IMG]Newcastle39
    • 14[​IMG]Huddersfield37
    • 15[​IMG]West Brom37
    • 16[​IMG]Brighton36
    • 17[​IMG]West Ham36
    • 18[​IMG]Swansea35
    • 19[​IMG]Watford34
    • 20[​IMG]Stoke33
     
  7. Harrow Orn

    Harrow Orn Squad Player

    10 Watford 46
    11 Bournemouth 45
    12 Huddersfield 39
    13 Swansea 39
    14 Crystal Palace 39
    15 Newcastle 39
    16 West Ham 38
    17 Brighton 36
    18 Southampton 36
    19 Stoke 32
    20 West Brom 29

    Predicted us to beat Everton, West Brom, Newcastle, Palace, and Bournemouth at home. And also a point at home to Burnley.

    Didn't realise I was doing it at the time but I was predicting us to lose all of our remaining away games.
     
  8. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    so W5 D1 L0 of our 6 home games ? Wishful thinking.
     
  9. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    Here's my effort:
    • 10 Swansea 42
    • 11 Watford 41
    • 12 Crystal Palace 40
    • 13 Newcastle 40
    • 14 Bournemouth 39
    • 15 West Ham 37
    • 16 Huddersfield 33
    • 17 Southampton 33
    • 18 Brighton 31
    • 19 Stoke 28
    • 20 West Brom 24
     
  10. The uninformed

    The uninformed Academy Graduate

    Interesting. I'm terrible at predictions but my rules were to assume the top 6 will win all of their games (home or away) and to take a pessimistic view in respect of our games (I predicted we would draw 4 and lose the rest) and we finish 15th. Which I would take!
     
  11. Relegation certs.
     
  12. RookeryDad

    RookeryDad First Year Pro

    Liked for badge awareness & outcome.
     
  13. RookeryDad

    RookeryDad First Year Pro

    Disliked for badge obsession & outcome.
     
  14. Cassetti's Beard

    Cassetti's Beard Squad Player

    i hope we stay up
     
  15. Levon

    Levon Squad Player

    10[​IMG]Bournemouth43
    • 11[​IMG]Watford42
    • 12[​IMG]Swansea40
    • 13[​IMG]West Ham40
    • 14[​IMG]Huddersfield39
    • 15[​IMG]Newcastle37
    • 16[​IMG]Brighton35
    • 17[​IMG]Southampton33
    • 18[​IMG]West Brom32
    • 19[​IMG]Crystal Palace32
    • 20[​IMG]Stoke30
     
  16. Levon

    Levon Squad Player

    I did mine with completely honest answers. How the hell are we still so high? I only put us down to win against West Brom, Bournemouth and Newcastle. This is the worst Premier League in a long time.
     
  17. Ghost of Barry Endean

    Ghost of Barry Endean Squad Player

    Yes but we would still be ok withW2, D2, L7
     
  18. Leighton Buzzer

    Leighton Buzzer First Year Pro

    It is difficult of course to predict results, so you have all come up with slightly different scenarios.
    There is however one noticeable constant, and putting your forecasts together, it really does look like Stoke and WBA are for the chop.
     
  19. AndrewH63

    AndrewH63 Reservist

    None of the predictions require more than 37 points to stay up - many 34 would be enough. If that was the case we only need 7 more points while others below us need 1.5 x more with 11. As made obvious its our 6 home games we need to max out on. Even then a couple of points from our away matches (win our a draws at say Huddersfield) could be invaluable. A review after the next three games will see if the predictions are still looking valid
     
  20. Sting

    Sting Reservist

    Like others I thought I was being tough on Watford and was surprised how many points I predicted. INteresting how many have WBA and Stoke - and even Southampton. (Sliver anyone)
     
  21. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    38 points. Probably. Which could be achieved by H: W2D2L2 and A: W0D0L5 which is what I'm predicting though I don't know which we will be the 4 games we get points from.
     
    Davidmsawyer likes this.
  22. Simmos

    Simmos Academy Graduate

    On the BBC website

    http://www.bbc.co.uk/sport/football/43049564

    8 more points should be enough but looking at results from last season against the same opponents I would be disappointed if we couldn't get 15 more points from the season.
     
  23. The undeniable truth

    The undeniable truth Squad Player

    yes see relegation watch thread
     
  24. nascot

    nascot First Team

    Huddersfield, Southampton and West Brom go down for me. I was being harsh on us and we still finished 11th.
     
  25. CaveManHornet

    CaveManHornet First Year Pro

    10th. Watford (48)
    11th. Swansea (43)
    12th. West Ham (37)
    13th. Bournemouth (37)
    14th. Huddersfield (34)
    15th. Palace (34)
    16th. Newcastle (34)
    17th. Brighton (32)
    18th. Southampton (32)
    19th. Stoke (28)
    20th. West Brom (22)

    Strange how I managed to think Watford would finish the season with 48 considering I thought I was being fair with the results (e.g losing to Huddersfield away)

    If my prediction was to come into play, whatever points we get, it looks as if the minimum points for safety will drop from 40 to around mid 30s which should be achievable from the point that we are already at
     
  26. Sort of OK

    Sort of OK Academy Graduate

    upload_2018-2-14_21-35-53.png

    Tried to go with what I thought without any prejudices, can't see the table from one game before but according to me 7 teams could join WBA being relegated on the last day. That would make around the grounds interesting!
     
  27. Stevohorn

    Stevohorn Watching Grass Grow

    I also tried without any prejudices.. but i may have been overly pessimistic.


    going down!.JPG
     
  28. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    Wow how did Stoke get all those points in your predictions??? With their next 6 games I can barely see them getting a point.
     
    Sort of OK likes this.
  29. Sort of OK

    Sort of OK Academy Graduate

    Good question. I completed that over two hours ago so frankly have very little recollection of any of the results I predicted, however, agreed it looks like I have them making a dramatic improvement, albeit only getting 2 points more than us over the 11 games.

    Maybe it'll be the Berahino effect, when he regains the form he showed in those 6 games 5 years ago that means some people to this day still believe he is a decent footballer, that fires them to glory?

    Also not sure how the tool works out goal difference when you only say win lose or draw and I end up with Swansea overturning deficits on both Southampton and Brighton to avoid the drop.

    Upon reflection my prediction may be a bit crap.
     
    Last edited: Feb 15, 2018
    Meh! likes this.
  30. Meh!

    Meh! Pre-Dictator

    Your predictions are as good as anyone elses! :)
     
    Sort of OK likes this.
  31. Sort of OK

    Sort of OK Academy Graduate

    Exactly my point, but thanks. ;)
     
  32. The Voice of Reason

    The Voice of Reason The One and Only

    This is how my predictions came out, and I tried to be non biased, so hopefully this is good news: -
    • 10[​IMG]Swansea45
    • 11[​IMG]Watford45
    • 12[​IMG]Bournemouth42
    • 13[​IMG]West Ham37
    • 14[​IMG]Southampton35
    • 15[​IMG]Newcastle35
    • 16[​IMG]Brighton34
    • 17[​IMG]Huddersfield33
    • 18[​IMG]Crystal Palace33
    • 19[​IMG]Stoke30
    • 20[​IMG]West Brom26
     
    ArunOrn likes this.
  33. Travis Bickle

    Travis Bickle Reservist

    Stoke to finish bottom. I had West Brom and Newcastle joining them with us in 11th in 42. I think Bournemouth will finish 10th with a few points gap to us.
     
  34. folkestone orn

    folkestone orn Reservist

    We should be hitting at least 40 points and being generous to teams below us that will see us comfortably safe (I hope). I got us finishing 12th on 42 points.
     
  35. Simmos

    Simmos Academy Graduate

    • 10[​IMG]West Ham45
    • 11[​IMG]Bournemouth43
    • 12[​IMG]Huddersfield41
    • 13[​IMG]Crystal Palace41
    • 14[​IMG]Watford41
    • 15[​IMG]Brighton39
    • 16[​IMG]Southampton38
    • 17[​IMG]Newcastle36
    • 18[​IMG]Stoke33
    • 19[​IMG]Swansea33
    • 20[​IMG]West Brom32
     

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