DAY 6 - Werewolf 2018

Yeah PO led the charge against squibba.

Steve is my pick unless anyone can give any better logic.

 

Well, that's a shame!

I genuinely didn't know if Squibba was evil or not. I'm inclined to think the first message today was from the seer and won't be voting for you.

PO was my choice when he reacted to the first message but then when the second one was posted saying he's good, I have started to have my doubts.

Would PO say he's good today, we then lynch a goodie and he's in the frame? Not sure.

Update - 2 votes for me despite not being named in the messages?

 

At least you've not voted yet.

I am going to read through the messages and report back!

 

Have said my gut feel was that PO is good I see no reason thus far to change that , I think Mike is good as well ( purely for being in Barbados lucky bugger).
Was I know is good For me its between PJ and Steve .

 

Okay. I’ll be really annoyed if PJ is evil as I spotted him being suspicious on day 1.

Steve then PJ tomorrow if he’s good, for me.

 

But Steve hasnt been viewed and PJ has been viewed but by wolf or Seer aaaarggghhh!
its a down to a coin flip .

 

PJ was suspicious voting Diamond but presumably whoever our last wolf is was good on days 1 and 2 regardless how they behaved?

 

Two hours remaining for the last 4 votes.

 

By naming someone in a message, a wolf is giving them a higher probability of a lynching.

I’m not sure a wolf would name themselves today. It would be the less sensible option than naming someone else who has seemed suspicious, and trying to get rid of them.

 

I really want it to be Steve too but PJ was named (obviously not by the seer lol). It comes down to the wolf naming himself as innocent and hope nobody digs too further or naming a random good and hoping to frame them. So why choose PJ? I would have been a much better choice since everybody has been suspicious of me at some stage or other, even our illustrious former seer.

The wolf wouldn't have known there was a backup seer so probably didn't expect the second message.

I'll wait to hear from Steve one last time before voting.

 

Thats a fair point .

PO the fact that you keep saying you would be the logical choice is one of the reasons my gut thinks your good and that you just want to return to normal sleeping patterns .

 

If the wolf didn’t think there was a backup, naming themselves as the only name would be an even more dangerous tactic. They would be the only name on the list, and we’d still think it was from the wolf.

If it’s not Steve, I’ll vote for PJ first thing (about midday your time) tomorrow (if I survive the night).

 

Seeing as how I have 2 votes already... I'd warn you all against being misled by the wolf. They know I'm good and they also know which post is which today.

As I said earlier, PO immediately said today's first message was from the wolf. When I then said he'd given the wolf an option not to post, lo and behold a second message arrives naming him good. At first I thought that's too risky because it'll be obvious which message is which tomorrow and evil can't win overnight. But then 2 other folk got on my case, despite us knowing evil has posted. PJ is just mistaken but Mike had no reason to vote for me.

Our evil is PO, Norway or Mike. The wolf can kill with impunity tonight so let's not waste a lynching today on someone (me) who hasn't even been named in any message. If the seer wants to view me tomorrow, do so and if I'm evil, the game will be over anyway. But the wolf wants an unnamed person lynched tonight so thst today's messages can't be confirmed one way or another tomorrow.

 

Curious why you think PJ can't be evil?

 

Phew down to Mike, Steve and PJ then

Can't we just play paper scissors stone ?

 

I don't think you need to worry about Mike.

 

PO led the charge for squibba. If he’s evil, he did a terrible job for the team.

I trust message 2.

 

I think today's first message was from the back up seer and the wolf only replied because they felt they had to muddy the waters.

 

You trust message 2 but don't base your vote on it?

 

I based my vote on it. I didn’t vote for P.O.

If I think message 1 is the wolf, then the next question is whether message 2 are mentioning themselves as good, or trying to point attention away from themselves.

I think it’s more likely the latter, as I think mentioning themselves would draw more attention rather than less.

Therefore you’re the main choice.

 

You are right about PO leading the charge against Squibba - that is a good and fair point. But before Squibba was anywhere near being voted for, he suggested I was evil. Hardly likely at that stage if I was his co-wolf.

 

Ok, well I can't decide between PJ and Steve, so I'm going to go with my first theory and vote Norway.






JOKING!

I honestly believe it to be PJ but I don't want to split the voting.

 

You know, it bloody well could be Norway in this game of twists and turns. Mike is trying to persuade me you're not as likely to be evil as I had thought - why would he unless it's the long game he's playing. Not like you can both be wolves after all.

 

That's true what Steve says, I mentioned in my first post that Squibba put Steve's name in the frame when he was already a gonner. The only two people he didn't name was PJ and me.

Edit, scrub that last line. It's been a long day, he did mention PJ but only in his post count. He did call Steve evil though.

 

lol it's not Norway! Fortunately for you I'm not convinced it's you either.

 

In that case, it is Mike.

How can you be so sure Norway wasn't transformed after being named Good? It is possible the wolf was given the option of recruiting someone and who better than a named goodie?

 

Any comments from anyone else to assist?

 

Steve thats only a 50/50 chance

50% of Norway is a hell of a lot more than yourself or PJ at the moment

 

I get the logic of that. Perhaps the back up Seer can do something about that tomorrow. Evil can't win tonight remember.

 

Obviously our backup seer won't see tomorrow. Better we get this done tonight and right.

Mike offered little more than suspicions it is Steve. I understand his logic about whether the wolf would mention himself or someone else in the first post but either are just as likely. Squibba wouldn't call out his apprentice as he is going down.
The evidence points more to PJ than Steve I think.

 

I know I'm good but think PJ is good too. If it comes down to me or him though, clearly I've got to do what I need to do.

 

A little more than half an hour to go with 4 votes remaining.

 

Pity PJ sloped off when he did, not giving anyone the chance to cross examine him.

Steve, you are aware that if you are not lynched tonight you will be dead as soon as the village opens in the morning so if you are guilty you would do Otter and every one else a favour now by falling on your sword and saving us all the hastle of another day in the village. It would be the right and decent thing to do.

 

Pity PJ sloped off when he did, not giving anyone the chance to cross examine him.

Kind of handy for him .

 

The wolf knows everyone but them are good so like I said earlier, they can kill with impunity tonight. I have a decent chance of being eaten overnight, as have the other good folk. Or if you mean I'll get lynched tomorrow if not tonight, well there's not a huge amount I can do about that except hope the back up seer finds the wolf and convinces enough people to lynch them.

I shan't be falling on my sword as team good will have lost another.