Covid-19 Virus

Cheers @hornmeister

I was hoping for ‘mad pangolin bat disease’ or ‘Covfefe 19’ but your rather factual approach will have to do.

 

For good reason as some people seem prone to the sort of illogic that ends up with the beating this student got on Oxford Street.



https://metro.co.uk/2020/03/03/student-beaten-racist-saying-dont-want-coronavirus-country-12341106/

 

Too late in the afternoon for me to come up with witty stuff like that. I'm normally done in by about 2pm

 

Ffs, beggars belief. If they didnt want it and thought he might have it why did they touch him?

 

First death confirmed in the UK now.

The Spanish Flu pandemic of 1918 is one of the deadliest pandemics on record, with the death toll estimated as being anything up to 100 million people.

It had a mortality rate of 2% versus the coronavirus' currently estimated 3.4%.

That means COVID-19 has a mortality rate that, per the WHO, is almost twice as deadly as the 1918 epidemic that killed anything up to 100,000,000 people at a time when the world's population was a third of what it is now.

If the coronavirus isn't contained, the death toll looks like it will be catastrophic.

 

Death rate based on confirmed diagnosed cases. The World Health Authority speculate that there could be 100,000s of unconfirmed mild infections that will not be recorded. New Zealand two confirmed cases. This year Auckland alone has had 300 diagnosed cases of Measles. Measles is a nastier disease, more deadly, more serious potential side effects from infection. But we have a vaccine for Measles, that reduces both the range and severity of infection.

 

At least a year out is the current estimate, per drug companies.

 

It will be if I go shopping later and find everyone has been panic buying all the hummus.

 

Picking selective numbers like this doesn't help. How can the death toll be described by the phrase "anything up to 100 million people" be followed by the phrase, "it had a mortality rate of 2%".

The facts we know about the Spanish Flu is that we don't know how many died, and we certainly don't know how many had it in the first place and we don't know how many would have died if they had benefited from today's improved health care.

 

You should be honoured in some way for this, maybe the new stadium could be called the HappyHornet24 stadium with a plaque commemorating this monumental effort saying something like, "made the ultimate sacrifice when the virus was at it's peak and died aged 89 pissed as a fart, covered in Chocolate and able to quote word for word the entire series of Breaking Bad"

 

It will be the end of the world if I have to start eating that muck

 

The companies that manufacture hand sanitising gel must be rubbing their hands together.

 

Tabloids don't work m8 there is no cure we are all doomed

 

I was going to post something similar. The fact that in 1919 the medicines weren't available along with a large number of troops demobilising helped spread it.

Furthermore Spanish Flu was a peculiar illness as it mostly killed young adults compared with other age groups, the fact that life expectancy was lower then may possibly skew that but initial indications show that Covid-19 has mostly killed people with other underlying health issues. Due to these differences it isn't valid to compare Spanish Flu with Covid-19 other than the spread of it was far and wide.

 

This is a quality thread. The right mix of fact, speculation and humour.
Just add some cheese references and you could frame it.

 

Maybe they had gloves, baseball bats and anti-viral wipes ?

 

Organization.

 

Help is nigh...

 

Yes should have industrial quantities of an approved vaccine in about a year then.

 

Oh dear , it sounds like this lady has a blocked nose and that’s a symptom isn’t it?

We’re all doomed..

 

Bloody experts, solving complex problems, protecting people...

 

Phew! That's good news.

Perhaps you could update the WHO, they still seem to be concerned.

 

If she survives long enough in her bunker....

 

Do a bad back and a dodgy knee could as an"underlying health problem" ? I doubt I could out-run it.

 

#RIP

 

Rookerydad, Nnnn, Cleyhorn....good to see you again. Shuffle along a bit, it's time to join you on the great WFCForums subs bench in the sky....

 

It's maths.

One current model estimates 40% to 70% of the world's population will be exposed. The WHO currently estimates a 3.4% mortality rate.

I invite you to do that calculation yourself.

Obviously if what is currently thought to be true is wrong, then the equation shifts. I'm sure a lot of the info *is* imperfect; we're very much in a discovery phase at the moment. That could be either a good or a bad thing, though; it could be that everything is underestimated.

Let us assume the model for infection, for example, is very off base and only 10% of the world's population end up contracting it. That's about 750,000,000 people or so.

3.4% of that is still a very large number (25,000,000). 2% of that is still a very large number (15,000,000). And that's assuming the world infection rate is a quarter of that particular model's minimum. Those numbers fit my personal definition of "catastrophic". You are entitled to disagree, of course.

We're left in the unenviable position of hoping what's currently thought could be true is very, very wrong.

 

So why hasn’t the WHO labelled it a pandemic, then?